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What’s going on
Gravity pulls down by the same amount no matter how fast you are going. Air doesn’t: its push grows with speed squared, so it hits hardest right after release and eases off as the ball slows. That is why the solid path leaves the dashed one early, then falls steeper than it rose — the shape stops being a parabola at all.
It also moves the sweet spot. In still vacuum the farthest throw is at 45°. Add air and
the best angle drops — around 40° for a tennis ball, and near 24° for a beach
ball, which spends so long fighting the air that a high, slow arc is simply wasted time.
Try the steel ball: heavy, small, and so it barely notices the air. Its two paths sit almost on top of each other, which is exactly why the textbook version was ever a decent guess.
This shot
Air is taking a bite out of this shot.
Aim
Ball
Drag factor is ½·ρ·C·A ÷ m — how much air the ball has to shove aside for every gram it carries. A beach ball is nearly all sail and no mass.